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koms_chinda (25)

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a card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. from the remaining cards 2 cards are drawn & are found to be both diamond.find probability of lost card being diamond.
    
akhil_o (2704)

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edited:see below

" Always remember money isn't everything but make sure you have made a lot of it before talking such nonsense!"
- Bill Gates
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koms_chinda (25)

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 but the ans is 11/50
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akhil_o (2704)

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very sorry...i picked only one card...
will do it...take a couple of minz

" Always remember money isn't everything but make sure you have made a lot of it before talking such nonsense!"
- Bill Gates
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akhil_o (2704)

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Case I: lost card is a diamond
this happens in 13/52=1/4 ways
when this happens, chance of picking 2 diamonds is
12/51*11/50
so total=1/4*12/51*11/50=12*11/202*50

case II: non diamond is lost
3/4*13/51*12/50
=39*12/202*50

by Bayes theorem required
P=12*11/12*11+39*12
=11/11+39
=11/50

" Always remember money isn't everything but make sure you have made a lot of it before talking such nonsense!"
- Bill Gates
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kasirajan.1990 (1349)

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E1 = lost card in a diamond

E2 = lost card nt a diamond

P(E1) = 13/52

P(E2) = 39/52

E = 2 cards drawn frm the remainin pack r diamonds

P(E/E1) = 12C2/51C2 = 12x11/51x50

P(E/E2) = 13C2/51C2 = 13x12/51x50

required propability

-----> P(E1/E) = P(E/E1) P(E1) / { P(E/E1) P(E1) + P(E/E2) P(E2)}

= 11/50

kasirajan



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kasirajan.1990 (1349)

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sry ... dint c akhil's answer.!

kasirajan



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