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Ask iit jee aieee pet cbse icse state board community Community Discussion Question: Probability
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sreeee (89)

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A bag contains 20 coins. If the prob. that bag contains 4 biased coins is 1/3 and that of

exactly 5 biased coin is 2/3 then the prob. that all the biased coin are sorted out from the

bag in exactly 10 draws is???

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sreeee (89)

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Koi to kar de

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lol...
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mydarshankumar (2131)

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admin pls note change this to maths section

" You get What u deserve and not what you desire"



R.darshan kumar
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harsha_27 (1384)

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is it 7/255.....if it is ,then i'll explain

"Nenenthedhavano naake teleedu"



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aditi_g (355)

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im not clear wid the question....while solving how many biased coins do we have to consider 4 or 5?? or do u mean that their r either 4 or 5 coins in the bag???can u plz specify
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harsha_27 (1384)

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see there cant be 4 and 5 at a time and also notice that the probabilities given for them are 1/3 and 2/3 (i mean they add up to 1)means they are exhaustive and exclusive events ........this qn. is based on addition theorem
......hence the answer will be P(there are exactly 4biased coins)P(test ends at 10th draw given there are 4 biased coins)+P(
there are exactly 5 biased coins)P(test ends at 10th draw given there are 5 biased coins).......understood?  if not nudge me .....i'll make it clear

"Nenenthedhavano naake teleedu"



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joyfrancis (1504)

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Probability that all biased coins would be sorted out at the 10th position when 4 biased coins are there = P4
 
Probability that all biased coins would be sorted out at the 10th position when 5 biased coins are there = P5
 
Total Probability = P4+P5
 
P4 = 1/3 * [(4C3*16C6)/(20C9)] * (1/11)
i.e the probabilty that out of the 4 biased coins, exactly 3 come before 10th position and out of 16 unbiased coins exactly 6 come before 10th pos and the last biased coin comes at 10th pos.
 
Similarly
P5 = 2/3 *[(5C4*15C5)/20C9] * (1/11)
 
Total prob = P4+P5 which comes out to be
 
53/3876.......(ans)

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harsha_27 (1384)

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let E4 be the event that there are exactly 4 biased coins
let E5 be the event that there are exactly 5 biased coins
let E be the event that process ends at 10th draw

now P(E)=P(E4)P(E/E4) + P(E5)P(E/E5)

P(E/E4)=
[(4C316C6)/(20C9)](1/11)
P(E/E5)=[(5C415C5)/20C9](1/11)
P(E4)=1/3
P(E5)=2/3

=>P(E)=(1/3)[(4C316C6)/(20C9)](1/11) + (2/3)
[(5C415C5)/20C9](1/11)
=>P(E)=217/19380
hope u understood now.......and in my previous answer(7/255) there is a calculation mistake...now this is correct

"Nenenthedhavano naake teleedu"



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